The Call

Google's AI Mode now answers roughly a third of commercial searches before a shopper reaches an ad. Separately, an analysis of the top 100 retailers found 70% can't complete a purchase with an AI shopping agent. Those agents drove about a fifth of retail sales last holiday season.

Underneath both: the assumption that a human looks at your marketing before they buy is coming apart.

Nearly every dollar in your acquisition budget rests on that assumption. Creative gets made for a person to see. Landing pages get written for a person to read. Retargeting exists because a person browsed and left.

Take the human out of the sequence and most of that spend has nothing to act on.

This is showing up in Q4 planning right now, and it splits your budget into two categories most brands still manage as one.

The first is attention you buy. Creative, placements, the machinery for getting in front of a person. That still works and will keep working for years.

The second is eligibility. Whether your product data is machine-readable, whether an agent can finish a checkout, whether your brand gets cited in an AI answer. None of it involves a human seeing anything. It determines whether you're in the consideration set at all.

Most brands your size have the first category funded, staffed, and reported on weekly. The second is owned by nobody. It sits between marketing and engineering, gets filed as technical debt, and loses every prioritization fight it enters.

That's the call before Q4 locks. Does eligibility get an owner and a budget line, or does it stay a ticket nobody picks up?

The brands taking share this holiday won't be running better creative. They'll have cleared a bar their competitors haven't noticed exists, and it will have cost them one sprint.

If you want an outside read on which parts of your acquisition model depend on a human being present, that's what our audits are for.

Ask Your Team

"If a shopping agent tried to buy our best seller right now, would it work?"

Go: someone tested it in the last 30 days and can tell you exactly where it broke.
No-go: any answer that opens with "our site is fully optimized."

"When someone searches our main category term, does the AI answer mention us?"

Go: screenshots from this week and a named owner for fixing it.
No-go: anything about impression share.

Neither question can be answered from a dashboard, which is the point. If the person running your growth needs to schedule a follow-up to answer either one, you've found the gap.

What Good Looks Like

Meta traffic cost 172% more in June than it did in January across our client portfolio. Google held a $12 to $14 CPM band through most of the first half before spiking in June.

For a plan built last winter, that means this: if your 2026 model assumed 2025 acquisition costs, it's wrong, and it's wrong by more on Meta than anywhere else.

The brands that held CAC flat through H1 didn't do it with better creative. They moved budget into Pinterest, Reddit, and TikTok while those CPMs were still cheap, and they moved before the World Cup pulled another wave of spend into the market.

If your blended CAC is up and your creative team is being asked to explain it, that's the wrong question pointed at the wrong department.

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Founder's Note

Meta, stop building direct relationships with founders in the $5 to $50 million range who already have an agency. You're making their lives harder.

Those founders hired an agency so they wouldn't have to manage platform relationships. That's the entire point. They want to grow a business, not take biweekly calls about your product lineup.

I've seen the emails. Wrong company name. Wrong founder name. The same template sent to hundreds of contacts with a blank bracket where the personalization was supposed to go.

The enterprise model makes sense. Sophisticated orgs, multiple stakeholders, real budget decisions at senior level. The talent matches the task.

That's not who's staffing your mid-market team. It's 60 to 70 accounts per rep, and the output is AI-generated optimization advice from someone who has never seen the client's P&L.

Founders: count the Meta emails in your inbox from the last 30 days. Then ask your agency whether any were worth forwarding.

Know a founder who'd use this? Forward it. That's who it's for.

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